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Guest Posts

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Fed Preview
Date: September 18, 2017
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No one expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates at the meeting this week. A rate change of any kind, either up or down, would be a complete stunner. Instead, the big news on monetary policy this week is very likely to be the Federal Reserve announcing it will begin gradually trimming its balance sheet […]

Have a great weekend!
Date: September 16, 2017
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Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Time To Drain The Fed Swamp
Date: September 12, 2017
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The Panic of 2008 was damaging in more ways than people think. Yes, there were dramatic losses for investors and homeowners, but these markets have recovered. What hasn’t gone back to normal is the size and scope of Washington DC, especially the Federal Reserve. It’s time for that to change. D.C. institutions got away with […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Hurricane Economics
Date: September 5, 2017
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The hits keep coming. Hurricane Harvey left destruction in its wake, and now, Hurricane Irma has Florida in its sights. It’s been five years since Hurricane Sandy, nine years since Ike and twelve years since Katrina. As with all major weather events, personal tragedy, pain, suffering, and loss are left in their wake. We have […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Don’t Fret ‘Debt Ceiling’ Debt Drama
Date: August 28, 2017
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Think that title sounds familiar? It is. We’ve been here before. And, as before, the “debt ceiling” is a gold mine for some politicians, journalists, and analysts. A possible government shutdown, or reaching a “hard” debt ceiling, are both fun for pessimists to talk about. It seems to happen every couple of years and, as […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Third Quarter Real GDP – 3.8%!
Date: August 21, 2017
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  While the Sunday morning talk shows discuss the number of Civil War monuments that can dance on the head of a pin…and a rare Eclipse grabs focus…investors might be shocked at how the economy has accelerated. Although we still have more than a month left in the third quarter, and many more pieces of […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook “Shiller P-E” Still Wrong Signal
Date: August 7, 2017
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For many years now a relatively large contingent of analysts, investors and journalists has been convinced the stock market was in a bubble because the “Shiller P-E” ratio was just too high.  Back on 8/12/2013, in our Monday Morning Outlook, we made our case that the Shiller model was too pessimistic.  Now that looks like a […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning  Outlook: Unfortunately, Still a Plow Horse
Date: July 31, 2017
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Yes, Friday’s report of the Q2 real GDP growth rate was a little faster than average, but, with one exception, it remains the same Plow Horse it’s been for the past eight years. The US economy has grown at an annual rate of 2.1% since the economic recovery started in mid-2009. So the second quarter […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Moderate Growth for Q2
Date: July 24, 2017
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Since the start of the economic recovery in mid-2009, real GDP has grown at an average annual rate of 2.1%. The second quarter of this year doesn’t look much different. Our calculations suggest real GDP grew at a 2.5% annual rate in Q2, exactly the same as the consensus forecast. That’s an acceleration from the […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Hey Government: It’s Time to Get Serious!
Date: July 17, 2017
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At eight years, the current economic recovery is the third longest on record. Personal income, consumer spending, household assets, and net worth, are all at record highs. Stock markets are at record highs. Corporate profits are within striking distance of their all-time highs. Federal tax receipts are at record highs. So, how is it possible […]