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Guest Posts

Wesbury Video: Don’t Fear a Taylor Economy
Date: November 2, 2017
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Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: “Continuity” At Fed, Not Best For Long-Term
Date: October 30, 2017
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The short-short list for new Fed Chair includes Janet Yellen, Fed Governor Jerome Powell and Stanford economist John Taylor, the author of the “Taylor Rule.” Right now Jerome Powell – a former Wall Street executive at Dillon Reed – is the runaway favorite. Taylor and Yellen are a very distant second and third. The Trump […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Can We Afford a Tax Cut?
Date: October 23, 2017
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Congress took a big step last week toward enacting some sort of tax cuts and tax reform. That big step was the US Senate passing a budget resolution creating the room for ten years of tax cuts totaling $1.5 trillion with a simple majority vote. This procedure means there is no need to break a […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: GDP Growth Looking Good
Date: October 16, 2017
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Next week, government statisticians will release the first estimate for third quarter real GDP growth. In spite of hurricanes, and continued negativity by conventional wisdom, we expect 2.8% growth. If we’re right about the third quarter, real GDP will be up 2.2% from a year ago, which is exactly equal to the growth rate since […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Longest Recovery Ever
Date: October 10, 2017
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If the current economic expansion lasts another year and a half, it’ll be the longest on record, even surpassing the expansion of the 1990s that ended in early 2001. Notice how we didn’t say it’ll be the “best” expansion of all-time, just the longest; it’s not the best by a long shot. From the recession […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Stocks Won
Date: October 2, 2017
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Next Monday (October 9th) will be exactly ten years from the stock market peak before the Financial Panic of 2008. Imagine that Doctor Doom, the perceived “best analyst in the business,” told you on that night, when markets peaked, that financial authorities would allow mark-to-market accounting rules to burn the banking system to the ground, […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Low Inflation Is No “Mystery”
Date: September 25, 2017
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Last week, at her press conference, Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen said continued low inflation was a “mystery.” She’s referring to Quantitative Easing (QE) and the lack of the economic evidence that it worked. The Fed bought $3.5 trillion of bonds with money it created out of thin air in an extraordinary “experiment” to avoid […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Fed Preview
Date: September 18, 2017
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No one expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates at the meeting this week. A rate change of any kind, either up or down, would be a complete stunner. Instead, the big news on monetary policy this week is very likely to be the Federal Reserve announcing it will begin gradually trimming its balance sheet […]

Have a great weekend!
Date: September 16, 2017
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Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Time To Drain The Fed Swamp
Date: September 12, 2017
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The Panic of 2008 was damaging in more ways than people think. Yes, there were dramatic losses for investors and homeowners, but these markets have recovered. What hasn’t gone back to normal is the size and scope of Washington DC, especially the Federal Reserve. It’s time for that to change. D.C. institutions got away with […]