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Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: “Continuity” At Fed, Not Best For Long-Term
Date: October 30, 2017
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The short-short list for new Fed Chair includes Janet Yellen, Fed Governor Jerome Powell and Stanford economist John Taylor, the author of the “Taylor Rule.” Right now Jerome Powell – a former Wall Street executive at Dillon Reed – is the runaway favorite. Taylor and Yellen are a very distant second and third. The Trump […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Can We Afford a Tax Cut?
Date: October 23, 2017
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Congress took a big step last week toward enacting some sort of tax cuts and tax reform. That big step was the US Senate passing a budget resolution creating the room for ten years of tax cuts totaling $1.5 trillion with a simple majority vote. This procedure means there is no need to break a […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: GDP Growth Looking Good
Date: October 16, 2017
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Next week, government statisticians will release the first estimate for third quarter real GDP growth. In spite of hurricanes, and continued negativity by conventional wisdom, we expect 2.8% growth. If we’re right about the third quarter, real GDP will be up 2.2% from a year ago, which is exactly equal to the growth rate since […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Stocks Won
Date: October 2, 2017
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Next Monday (October 9th) will be exactly ten years from the stock market peak before the Financial Panic of 2008. Imagine that Doctor Doom, the perceived “best analyst in the business,” told you on that night, when markets peaked, that financial authorities would allow mark-to-market accounting rules to burn the banking system to the ground, […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Fed Preview
Date: September 18, 2017
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No one expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates at the meeting this week. A rate change of any kind, either up or down, would be a complete stunner. Instead, the big news on monetary policy this week is very likely to be the Federal Reserve announcing it will begin gradually trimming its balance sheet […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Don’t Fret ‘Debt Ceiling’ Debt Drama
Date: August 28, 2017
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Think that title sounds familiar? It is. We’ve been here before. And, as before, the “debt ceiling” is a gold mine for some politicians, journalists, and analysts. A possible government shutdown, or reaching a “hard” debt ceiling, are both fun for pessimists to talk about. It seems to happen every couple of years and, as […]

Are you playing it too safe with long term investing?
Date: August 3, 2017
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What is the difference in investing for safety (treasury bonds) or the S&P 500 over 10 years? Old school thinking and pessimism can cost you a lot of money over the long term. Watch this important video about long term investing.

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Moderate Growth for Q2
Date: July 24, 2017
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Since the start of the economic recovery in mid-2009, real GDP has grown at an average annual rate of 2.1%. The second quarter of this year doesn’t look much different. Our calculations suggest real GDP grew at a 2.5% annual rate in Q2, exactly the same as the consensus forecast. That’s an acceleration from the […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Hey Government: It’s Time to Get Serious!
Date: July 17, 2017
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At eight years, the current economic recovery is the third longest on record. Personal income, consumer spending, household assets, and net worth, are all at record highs. Stock markets are at record highs. Corporate profits are within striking distance of their all-time highs. Federal tax receipts are at record highs. So, how is it possible […]

Wesbury’s Monday Morning Outlook: Stress Test Government
Date: June 26, 2017
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The Federal Reserve just finished its annual round of large bank stress tests. The banks all passed – meaning they had enough capital to withstand a massive financial shock and deep recession. These stress tests are the political result of the government blaming banks, and not Fannie and Freddie, for the 2008 Panic and are […]